Observations From The Margin

Observation Tower

 

“SCIENTIFIC” MODELING

-The “scientific” models for U.S. deaths from the coronavirus haven’t been correct yet. They have been revised down from 2.2 million to 200,000 to 100,000 to 75,000 and now it’s 60,000 which will no doubt be revised again. If “scientific” models, used to predict the future, are wrong by this much and in such a short time, we should be skeptical of “experts” who hold up their models as “science”. Because science is a process used to disprove theories and models. But “experts” use the phrase “scientific models” to give their theories and models credibility without being scrutinized.

-Here is a model:  I have a tee time in the spring at 7:30. It is 42 degrees when I tee off. At the turn it’s 50 degrees. When I leave the course at noon it is 62 degrees. So it should follow that it will be 106 degrees at 8:30 tonight.  Here is another model: The first round of golf you play this year was an 83. The second round you played you shot a 79. So by the time July rolls around you will be shooting in the 50’s.

-We can see why my models are not workable. Although they might make sense from a math standpoint. The variables in the models are just that, variable. They are not constant.

-In the coronavirus models the most important variable is each individual. But each individual is different in many areas. Each individual’s immune system is different. Each individual will assess the risk of his actions differently. And each individual may act differently tomorrow than how they acted today. How can you model variable variables?

-And by the way my brother is a chemist. He said he did modeling his whole career. He also said he could make a model say anything he wanted it to say.

-The “experts” can’t lose no matter what happens. They can safely say their policies worked to “flatten” the curve. Unfortunately their is no way to go back and try something else to find out what would have worked better. What if we had done what I suggested; Quarantine everyone who was in a risk group protecting them from the virus and let everyone else go about their business allowing the only weapon we have, each individual’s immune system, to fight the virus. If we would have done this, I could safely say my policies worked to flatten the curve. Why? because we wouldn’t have anything to compare it to.

-People are able to assess their own risk. “Experts” don’t possess enough information to make decisions for each individual. They can only put forth one size fits all solutions on individuals who are all different.

-“Experts” think they are smarter than all of us. They think the benighted masses are not capable of making decisions about our own safety. But let me ask you; What happens when a storm hits and stop lights aren’t working because the electric is out? Do wrecks happen at every intersection where the stop light is out? No. People don’t speed through a stop light that is not working. They approach each intersection cautiously. People don’t want to get in a wreck, get hurt, or die.

 

SATIRICAL HEADLINES

Bernie Sanders Drops Out As Campaign Goals Of Locking Everyone Up, Destroying Economy Already Achieved, at babylonbee.com.     Excerpt:      “As the coronavirus panic has already accomplished the aims of his socialistic policies, Sanders realized the country didn’t need his public service anymore. Unemployment has skyrocketed, grocery stores have empty shelves, and everyone is confined to their homes on penalty of arrest. This “idyllic paradise” is exactly what Sanders wanted in the first place, so he says he can leave the race satisfied that his vision has been achieved.”

“This once-in-a-lifetime deadly pandemic has already accomplished what socialism aims to do.”

 

Constitution Dies Of Coronavirus, at babylonbee.com.   Excerpt:     “According to sources at the National Archives, doctors rushed the United States Constitution to the hospital and were forced to hook the document up to a ventilator after it began having trouble breathing Sunday afternoon.”

“The document reportedly slipped into a coma en route to the emergency room and was in critical condition for many hours. Doctors confirmed the worst: the founding document of our nation was infected with the novel coronavirus. Finally, surrounded by one or two mourners, as most people in Washington abandoned it a long time ago, it slipped away Sunday night.”

“Between both political parties constantly trampling all over the Bill of Rights and stretching and distorting the Constitution for political gain whenever it’s convenient, I just don’t know how much more abuse it could have taken,” said one doctor as he pronounced the Constitution’s time of death: 20:20, ironically.”

“The 232-year-old Constitution has had its share of health scares, nearly being killed in the 1860s, the 1930s and 40s, and the early 2000s, but medical experts say this last crisis was just more than it could take.”

“It had many underlying conditions, of course, already being incredibly sick with Obamacare, Obergefell, Roe v Wade, the Patriot Act, and many more diseases,” said the doctor. “But it’s still sad to see this old boy pass on.”

 

Everyone Jumps Off Bridge After New Government Order Telling Everyone To Jump Off Bridge, at babylon.com.     Excerpt:    “…..a new order has been issued: everyone is to jump off a bridge immediately.”

A government official issued the order to solve our current crisis, and everyone immediately complied.”

“Everyone jump off a bridge,” said a representative of the government.

“OK,” said everyone. “If the government says so, it’s probably a good idea. Besides, what can we do? It’s the government. They definitely have the best people working on it.”

“The directive was designed to end coronavirus. Medical experts believe it’s the best, most effective way to stop the virus. Assuming everyone follows through and obeys the order, coronavirus will be wiped out, according to officials. There are no bad side effects, as far as anyone can tell.”

 

Civil Liberties Declared Nonessential, at babylonbee.com.   Excerpt:   “U.S.—As of this weekend, based on recommendations from the Center for Disease Control and the World Health Organization, all civil liberties have been declared nonessential. The Department of Homeland Security released a statement declaring that any human rights outlined in such documents as the Bill of Rights, the Constitution, or the Bible are nonessential and will, therefore, be disregarded amid the outbreak of COVID-19.”

“After the outbreak is contained, health leaders say the rights may be reinstated in small increments but have made no guarantees.”

“I think we’re going to come out of this whole thing having woken up to the realization that liberty has been insanely overrated and it’s time to move on,” said California governor Gavin Newsom, who was quick to impose the guidelines on his state. “Human rights aren’t even real. Science can’t prove them.”

 

Liberal Treated With Hydroxychloroquine Hopes He Still Dies Of Covid-19 To Prove Trump Is Stupid, at babylonbee.com.  Excerpt:   “While Trump has been giving people hope that hydroxychloroquine could save lives, his political opponents have called it false hope and claimed Trump has no idea what he’s talking about. Walton, a lifelong Democrat and progressive, had joined in calling Trump “irresponsible” and an “ignoramus” and now has an opportunity to prove it by simply dying. “It’s such an opportunity, I don’t want to pass it up,” Walton said.”

 

 

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