Posted tagged ‘Charles Hugh Smith’

“The Fed Has Failed”, Analysis by Charles Hugh Smith

March 18, 2014

Here is a great article by Charles Hugh Smith, at oftwominds, titled, The Fed Has Failed, (And Will Continue To Fail), Part I. His analysis of what is the result when the Federal Reserve electronically prints counterfeit money through their policies of quantitative easing (QE’s) and  artificially low-interest rates is spot on. He sums it up in this statement;

“The Fed….. is handing guaranteed returns to the banks and financiers while strip mining what’s left of the middle and working classes’ non-labor income, i.e. interest and savings.”

The charts he uses show that the Feds policies have worked to bolster the financial sector {wall street and banking}, while stealing from the bottom 80% of the people who hold financial assets, decreasing the total number of people actively working by 4%,  and shrinking real wages and purchasing power of the people who remain in the labor force.

Before you read the article lets first give a brief explanation of how the Fed first creates and then injects counterfeit money into the economy, and then look at the result of the Feds counterfeiting.

COUNTERFEITING: 1) THE FED SETS THE DISCOUNT RATE IT CHARGES BANKS

The Fed sets the discount rate which is the interest rate it charges banks for loans. The zero interest rate policy {ZIRP}, that has been in effect for some time now, allows a member bank to borrow electronically printed counterfeit money from the Fed at zero or near zero percent interest. They can take the money and invest it in a bond, stock or other financial instrument that yields a higher interest rate than the rate charged by the Fed. It’s not hard to find a security that yields a rate higher than zero. Banks can also loan this money to individuals, at a low-interest rate, for mortgages on home purchases. So banks either purchases interest baring securities {bonds, stocks, etc} or create their own interest baring securities {mortgages} with the counterfeit money from the Fed.

COUNTERFEITING: 2) FRACTIONAL RESERVE BANKING

The banks can loan out more money than they get from the Fed because we have a 10% fractional reserve banking system. What this means is the bank can loan out 10 dollars for every 1 dollar they hold in reserve. So if the bank holds 1 million dollars in reserve it can loan out 10 million dollars. It can actually counterfeit another 10 million dollars in loans on top of the 1 million the Fed counterfeited and loaned to the bank. The bank is receiving monthly payments of interest and principle on the 10 million it counterfeited and loaned out. These payments can now be held on reserve which allows the bank to create more counterfeit loanable funds.

COUNTERFEITING: 3) PURCHASING SECURITIES THROUGH QE

Quantitative Easing is a fancy name for the Fed creating more counterfeit money and purchasing government bonds and mortgage-backed securities from banks on the open market. The Fed will buy the government bonds the bank originally purchased, and it will also buy the mortgages the bank originally created. The bank can now use the new counterfeit money the Fed created to purchase these securities, hold it in reserve and create 10 times that amount in counterfeit dollars.

To sum it up, the Fed counterfeits money and loans it to banks at zero percent interest. The banks can counterfeit 10 times as much money as they hold in reserve because of our 10% fractional reserve banking rules. The Bank purchases Government bonds, and creates mortgages with these counterfeit funds. The Federal reserve purchases these Government bonds and mortgage backed securities from the banks with more counterfeit money, and this money can be increased by a factor of ten, and the whole process starts over again. Where can you sign me up for this sweet deal.

FED COUNTERFEITING MISALLOCATES SCARCE RESOURCES

The counterfeit money injected into the economy allows first receivers to purchase something without any corresponding production. It is an exchange of nothing for something. It sends false signals through the economy propping up economic activities that would never be supported in an unhampered free market. The tech bubble of 2000, the housing bubble of 08, and the current level of the stock market are all examples of bubble activities that would never have happened if the Fed had not printed counterfeit dollars. The Tech bubble of 00, and the housing bubble of 08 were created by the Feds printing and artificially low interest rates. The counterfeit money injected since 08 has stopped the fall in housing prices, and has also created the stock markets five year bull run. All economic activities that have been created and/or maintained by this counterfeit money will eventually have to be liquidated sooner, if they stop counterfeiting, or later if they continue. One way or another the economic forces trying to correct the Feds  interventions will win out.

Click on the article above and read Charles Hugh Smiths analysis of the Feds failure. The charts are very good. Here are a few excerpts.

“The Fed’s policies have been an unqualified success for financiers and an abject failure for the bottom 99.5% who have to work for a living.”

“Keeping interest rates near-zero for five years and pumping $4 trillion into the system are both completely off the scale of central bank policy in the U.S.”

“The most charitable assessment we can make of Fed policy is that the “prosperity” it created is at best, ahem, grossly concentrated in the most parasitic and politically powerful sector: finance. Why should we be surprised that the Fed, itself a servant of the banking sector, should devise policies that enrich the bankers and financiers”.

Also read, “How The Fed Has Failed America”, Part II, by Charles Hugh Smith. Here is an excerpt from this article,

“The only way to eliminate the financial parasites is to stop subsidizing their skimming and scamming, and the only way to stop subsidizing the financial parasites is to shut down the Fed.”

Related ArticleCounterfeiting by the Federal Reserve, Although Legal, Still Results In Theft, by austrianaddict.com.

Related ArticleLet The Counterfeiting Continue! The Fed Is Stuck In Its Feedback Loop, by austrianaddict.com.

Related ArticleA Tornado vs. The Fed, Which Is More Destructive? by austrianaddict.com.

Related ArticleCapital Consumption, aka, Eating Our Seed Corn, by austrianaddict.com.

Related ArticleThomas Woods Explains The Austrian Business Cycle Theory, at austrianaddict.com.

Must Reads For The Week 2/15/14

February 15, 2014
The pen is mightier than the sword...

The pen is mightier than the sword… (Photo credit: mbshane)

Suicide Bomb Instructor Accidentally Blows Up His Class, at economicpolicyjournal.com. I wonder if Iraq’s version of OSHA will fine the terrorist training camp for unsafe working conditions?

More Evidence Of Employers Fighting Back Against The Possibility Of Higher Minimum Wages, at economicpolicyjournal.com. Do central planners ever consider the possibility that employers will react differently to these interventions than the planners thought they would?

WaPo Columnist: The Austrians Are Winning, by economicpolicyjournal.com. I’ll bet the WaPo columnist, E.J. Dionne, has never read anything  by Hayek, Mises, or Rothbard. Mr. Dionne I have a suggestion, start with Economics in One Lesson by Henry Hazlitt. Baby steps, baby steps.

Europe Considers Wholesale Savings Confiscation, Enforced Redistribution, at zerohedge.com. This can’t happen here, can it? The EU is talking about using the savings of the people of Europe to fund long-term investments in order to boost the economy. I thought all that electronically printed counterfeit money was supposed to boost the economy.

Retail Sales Slide Across The Board, Post Biggest Miss Since June 2012, at zerohedge.com. This is a symptom of not having enough people producing. The more our Government tries to use the spending of electronically printed counterfeit money to stimulate the economy the less will be produced. Spending counterfeit money is theft. It is consuming what has been produced, without any corresponding production to back up the counterfeit money. It is the consumption of wealth not the production of wealth.

Initial Jobless Claims Miss; Back Above 8-Month Average, at zerohedge.com. Government interventions, including the Fed electronically printing counterfeit money and keeping interest rates artificially low, lead to fewer people producing. This is just another symptom of the real problem, which is , say it with me, Government intervention into the free market. If we cure  Government intervention, these symptoms will go away.

Video: John Stossel – In Praise Of Fossil Fuels, at libertypenblog.blogspot.com. Carbon based fuels are the least expensive way to power the world economy. Subsidizing and mandating “green” energies isn’t the answer to lower cost energy. The market will reveal a lower cost form of energy if or when one exists. The Government has chosen Green energy and the market has rejected it. Think of all the wasted resources, including human capital, that could have been used to make carbon based fuels more abundant and less expensive. When it comes to green energy our Government is literally Don Quixote tilting at wind mills.

The Mafia State Of Mind, by Charles Hugh Smith, at oftwominds.com. I like reading CHS’s articles because they make me think.

Charles Hugh Smith: When Risk Is Offloaded Or Hidden, It Creates Moral Hazard.

August 23, 2013
Moral hazard

Moral hazard (Photo credit: jcbear2)

Risks have consequences, and when these consequences are divorced from risk, it creates moral hazard. This means the person taking the risk will not be in a position to weigh all the consequences of the risk, before he makes a decision to start, or continue a particular activity. In this article titled, The Source Of Systemic Crisis: Risk And Moral Hazard, Charles Hugh Smith, at oftowminds.com, explains risk and moral hazard as it pertains to how insurance works, as compared to how noninsurance insurance works. There is a big difference between life insurance, fire insurance, car insurance, on the one hand, and Government programs like social security insurance, medicare insurance, medicaid insurance on the other. Here are some excerpts from the article.

There are all sorts of candidates for the root cause of the systemic global financial crisis, but if we separate the wheat from the chaff we’re left with risk and moral hazard. Pointing to human greed and cupidity as the cause doesn’t identify anything useful about this era’s crisis, as human greed, self-interest and opportunism are default settings.”

“The key to understanding risk is to ask where it is being offloaded. Risk cannot disappear, it can only be transferred or cloaked.” (more…)

Government Plunder Sows The Seeds Of It’s Own Destruction.

June 17, 2013
Pirates

Pirates (Photo credit: Gilmoth)

GOVERNMENT IS TOO BIG

Have we finally reached the point that we can all agree that Government is too big? The latest scandals, concerning Government overreach, should be driving this point home for everyone to see no matter how politically partisan a person may be. But the republicans and the democrats have done a great job of making this a game between two teams, each having a loyal following who will defend their favorite team no matter what the members of the team do. As long as the banner of their favorite team is flying high they let corruption, power grabs, and abuses of individuals rights slide.  The normal solution for any corruption or illegality in Government is to put a new angel in the position that was previously occupied by a fallen angel [aka devil]. This will not cure the problem, it will only temporarily take care of the symptom, but the underlying problem is still there. The underlying problem is (more…)

Charles Hugh Smith, Why Suppressing Feedback Leads To Financial Crashes.

June 5, 2013
A general representation of a closed loop feed...

A general representation of a closed loop feedback system (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

In our previous post, Thomas Woods does a great job of explaining The Austrian Business Cycle Theory. In this article by Charles Hugh Smith titled, Why Suppressing Feedback Leads To Financial Crashes, he explains the same basic concept in a different way. F. A. Hayek said an economy is a system that utilizes knowledge which is widely dispersed among the people. This knowledge can’t possibly be known by one person or a committee of people. The knowledge gained by success and failure in the market is important for the coordination of production. Scarce resources, labor, capital, time, and land that is being wasted on unproductive activity will be kept to a minimum if knowledge is allowed to be transferred unhindered through the market.

Charles Hugh Smith says suppressing feedback leads to financial crashes, and Thomas Woods says that interest rates contain knowledge that coordinate production across time. Both are making the point that when knowledge is allowed to flow unhampered through the market, mainly through the price system, it works to coordinate all activities as optimally as possible. But when Government interventions don’t allow this knowledge to flow freely, malinvestments, dislocations, and financial crashes are the result.

The interventions into the market by Government through regulation, taxes, stimulus, and the Fed’s policy of credit expansion [through artificially low-interest rates and printing counterfeit money to fund this expansion of credit], has created a situation where nobody can possibly know where all of these malinvestments are located. The only way to cure these problems is for the interventions to stop and allow the market to purge itself of these wasteful activities. Unfortunately no politician, bureaucrat, or Fed policy maker wants to have this correction happen on his watch.

Getting a different explanation about the same basic concept allows us to better understand these abstract ideas. Watch the video by Thomas Woods, and read the article by Charles Hugh Smith. For a little lighter explanation, read Federal Reserve Policy Makers Have An Incestuous Intellectual Relationship With Each Other, and Geithner: “I Never Had A Real Job”, Another Example Of Intellectual Inbreeding, by austrianaddict.com.

If you really want some home work, read The Use Of Knowledge In Society, by F. A. Hayek at mises.org.

Charles Hugh Smith, Hits It Out Of The Park With These Articles.

May 6, 2013
Thinker

Thinker (Photo credit: dSeneste.dk)

Lets do some heavy lifting to start the week. Two weeks ago, Charles Hugh Smith, at oftwominds.com, had three outstanding articles that built on top of each other. For him they were relatively short, but as usual were filled with great insights. He talks about what politicians, bureaucrats, central bankers, and intellectuals not only think; but also talks about the incentives and constraints under which they are making decisions: Why their policies of counterfeiting money for funding stimulus programs, bailouts or for increasing their sacred GDP numbers, will continue until economic reality forces a change: Why China and the US are in similar situations, even though (more…)

“The Carrot’s In Reach:” The Myth Of A Self-Sustaining Recovery. By Charles Hugh Smith

April 8, 2013
how to move your ass

how to move your ass (Photo credit: ntenny)

This article, “The Carrot’s In Reach:” The Myth of a Self-Sustaining Recovery, by Charles Hugh Smith at oftwominds.com, is a must read. He explains how Government spending is not investment but is consumption not backed up by production. How the Fed’s “legal”  counterfeiting of trillions of dollars is nothing more than a transfer of your production to the Government and the banks, in other words, it is theft by the two entities who receive the money first, which is the same result as “illegal” counterfeiting.

Here are a few quotes from the article.

“The reality is the mythical self-sustaining recovery is the carrot dangled
in front of a credulous public:
though we’re constantly reassured (more…)