Posted tagged ‘Supply and demand’

Must Reads For The Week 9/20/14

September 20, 2014
The pen is mightier than the sword...

 The pen is mightier than the sword… (Photo credit: mbshane)

Radical Math, at radicalmath.org. You would think math would be a subject that could not be propagandized by the left. But you would be wrong. Here is a quote from the Radical Math website: “Join educators, parents, students, activists, and community members from around the country for a 3-day conference to explore the connections between math education and social justice. We will explore many questions, challenges, and opportunities to work toward social justice through math education.” We can never rest in our quest to keep what’s left of our freedom and regain the freedoms we’ve lost, because the progressive left will never rest.

Peer-to-Peer Car Rental Startup FlightCar Raises Another 13.5 Million, by Ryan Lawler, at techcrunch.com. Here is another example of the market benefiting the consumer, and not the status quo crony’s. FlightCar has lots near airports around the country. Travelers can park for free for the duration of their trip. Their cars are then used by visitors to the airport, at a discounted rate, instead of paying higher rates charged by traditional rental car companies. Both parties benefit. One party doesn’t have to pay for long-term parking, and the other party pays a discount for a rental car.

The Simple Economics Of Adjunct Abuse, at mungowitzend.blogspot.com. Why is the pay and benefits for College adjuncts so low? The supply of adjuncts is high, and the demand for adjuncts if low. Universities recruit students for their MA and PhD programs. The students aren’t told the demand for these advanced degrees is marginal at best. Producing more than the market demands lowers the price of the good or service. Economic forces are always at work.

Global Un-Warming? Antarctic Sea-Ice Reaches Record High Levels, at zerohedge.com. Another example of reality going against the conventional wisdom of the global warming cult. Here is a quote form the article, “CEO of the Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems CRC, Tony Worby, said the warming atmosphere is leading to greater sea ice coverage by changing wind patterns.” It must be nice to be able to use global warming as a universal excuse for every weather scenario.

Paul Krugman Explained, at zerohedge.com. Keynesian economist Paul Krugman is like the global warming cultists, he doesn’t have to be intellectually consistent.

Obama Met Privately With Top Journalists Before ISIS War Speech, by Michael Calderone, at economicpolicyjournal.com. I wonder if the journalists were given tips on how to propagandize the ISIS speech? Memorize the list of these unbiased journalists for future reference.

Castro Valley Winery Fined $155,000 For Using Volunteers, by Rebecca Parr, at mercurynews.com. Westover Winery is out of business after being fined $155,000 for using labor that volunteered. Here is an excerpt from the article, “The volunteers, some of them learning to make wine while helping out, were illegally unpaid laborers, and Westover Winery should have been paying them and paying worker taxes, the state Department of Industrial Relations said.” Why would people voluntarily work for no pay? Answer: Because they thought what they were getting out of working at this vineyard was more valuable than the labor they expended and also more valuable than the next best use of their time. Then government steps in and uses it’s coercive power to imposes they’re special wisdom on the people who voluntarily made this arrangement. I saw this at Carpe Diem Blog.

8 Subliminal Messages Hidden In Corporate Logos, at economicpolicyjournal.com. Individuals are really clever.

The World’s Largest Urban Zipline, at youtube.com. These people are insane.

The Economics Of American Pickers, by Joel Poindexter, at mises.org. There is a lot of depth in this short article that explains the economic principles in play on the History Channel Show, American Pickers.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gasoline Consumption Is Down: Why?

July 16, 2014

File:Shell station in Rosario.jpg

I’ve always thought robust economic activity could be measured by how much gasoline we use. Our ability to move ourselves, and things, quickly, saves our most scarce resource, time. This allows us to produce more with our time. I liken the consumption of gas in our economy to the consumption of nails for a carpenter. The more nails a carpenter uses signifies he is producing more output, and the higher the output, the wealthier he becomes. The more gas we use signifies we are producing more output, and the higher the output, the wealthier we become. Economies run on energy, and gasoline, which is specific to our transportation needs, is a big percentage of our countries energy supply. Electricity and heat are the other two parts of our energy needs.

Individuals use gasoline for productive activities and for consumption activities. An example of productive activities would be driving to and from work, and all other driving that is work related. Consumption activities would be all driving other than these productive activities. All of our consumption activities are made  possible because of our productive activities, with the exception of consumption financed with debt, a Government transfer from someone’s production via taxes, or counterfeiting money, like the Fed. The monies received through debt, transfer, or counterfeiting, are essentially certificates which allow you to demand what someone else has produced without any corresponding present production, except in the case of debt, which would be paid back with future production.

CHART SHOWS LOWER CONSUMPTION

I say this chart, US Total Gasoline Retail Sales by Refiners (Thousands of Gallons Per Day), at zerohedge.com. It is from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (eia.gov) which was created by congress in the late 70’s. It shows our consumption of gasoline in the last 9 years is way down. Lets look at consumption for the month of April since 2006.

Year           Thousands of Gallons Per Day (April)
2006            61,020.8
2007            57,354.7
2008            56,307.4
2009            51,215.6
2010            46,016.2
2011            41,555.0
2012            29,684.0
2013            28,179.6
2014            20,109.1

REASONS FOR DROP IN CONSUMPTION

That’s 40,000,800 less gallons being consumed in the month of April from 06 to 14, a drop of 66% or 2/3rds. What can account for this drop in consumption since 06. Lets look at some reasons. 1) Gas prices are high which means less will be consumed. 2) Higher unemployment means less work related miles driven. 3) Technology allows us to work at home, and also communicate with people without meeting face to face. 5) Shopping online reduces miles driven. 6) Our population is aging, and older people drive less. 7) Younger people are driving fewer miles. 8) Newer cars get better gas mileage, although this might be off set by a couple of things: A) people are keeping their lower MPG cars longer, and B) Because a molecule of ethanol produces less energy than a molecule of gasoline, mixing ethanol with gasoline lowers fuel efficiency. 9) Compressed natural gas is cheaper than gasoline, but substituting natural gas cars for our current fleet will occur some time in the future, and has no bearing on the present consumption.

Demographics and technology can’t account for the total 66% drop in gasoline consumption. Even if it accounted for half of the 2/3rds drop in gasoline usage, which it can’t, it still shows that Economic activity has slowed and doesn’t look like it is about to pick up any time soon. When the housing bubble, caused by the Feds dual edged sword of low-interest rates and electronically printing counterfeit money, popped in 08, it slowed economic activity. But the biggest drop in gasoline consumption has happened in the last year, at the same time we were being told the economy is improving. I think the drop in gasoline consumption is the canary in the coal mine when it comes to our economy.

WHAT TO LOOK FOR

The law of supply and demand states: less will be demanded at a high price than a low price, and more will be supplied at a high price than a low price. Since the demand is low the price should eventually go down. As the price goes down more will start to be consumed and less will be supplied. As demand rises and supply shrinks, a point will be reached where the price will start to rise. when this happens,  less will be demanded and more will be supplied.

If gasoline usage doesn’t increase significantly at the lower prices, we will know the new normal for our economy is an over all lower standard of living.

Related ArticleWhat Comes First Production Or Consumption, at austrianaddict.com.

Related  ArticleCapital Consumption, aka, Eating Our Seed Corn, at austrianaddict.com.

Related Article –  A Look Over The Horizon At What Lies Ahead If We Continue Down The Central Planning Road, at austrianaddict.com.

Related ArticleIs The Economy Improving? It Depends On How You Define Improving, at austrianaddict.com.

 

 

Tiger Drops Out Of Masters + Ticket Prices Fall = Value Is Subjective.

April 7, 2014

File:Tiger Woods Masters 2006.jpg

VALUE IS SUBJECTIVE

This article titled, Masters’ Ticket Prices Drop In Wake Of Tiger”s Absence, by Dan Wetzel, at yahoo.com, shows that value is not objective it is subjective. Value exists in the mind of each individual, it does not exist in an object. I could produce the best mouse trap ever invented for a price of x, but if no one is willing to pay x,  it has no value to anyone other than me. If you offered a sports fan  free tickets to either Saturdays third round at the Masters, or Saturdays Final Four games, he would make the decision based on which event he valued more, not on the monetary value of the tickets.

SUPPLY AND DEMAND

What does the drop in the price of the tickets mean? It doesn’t mean that people don’t value the Masters tournament, it just means that some people value it less when Tiger is not playing. After a bad back forced Tiger to withdraw from a tournament a month ago, demand for Masters tickets started to slow as people began to speculate that he wouldn’t play in this years Masters. Demand really dropped off when he officially withdrew from the Masters. This drop in demand revealed itself as the price for tickets began falling. The law of supply and demand is always in play, and in this case it says; if demand is low and the supply is fixed, the price will fall, and conversely if demand is high and the supply is fixed, the price will rise.

CONSUMER SETS WAGES

When you hear people say “they wouldn’t pay a particular athlete a particular amount of  money”, or “this athlete isn’t worth that much”, they obviously don’t understand subjective value, or supply and demand. The reason Tiger gets paid more than any golfer is because the value he creates is in high demand. There is a high number of people who value what he produces. Put simply, when there is a fixed supply of Tiger Woods, and a high demand for him, his price rises. If there weren’t enough consumers to voluntarily pay for the value they subjectively think Tiger produces for them, he wouldn’t get paid these “outrageous” sums of money. The consumer ultimately sets all prices in the process of production, and this includes the wages or salaries of all workers. So if you think certain professions don’t get payed enough, blame the greedy consumer, and if you think other professions get paid too much, blame the generous consumer.

Related Article – In a previous post, Ticket Scalping; The True Free Market In Action, we talked about voluntary exchanges from the stand point that each person involved in the exchange values what they receive more than what they give up, or no exchange would take place. Value is increased in voluntary exchanges.

Related ArticleSpontaneous Order = Free Market Economy, by austrianaddict.com.

Related ArticleSpontaneous Order Utilizes More Knowledge Than Central Planning Could Ever Hope To Utilize, by austrianaddict.com.

Related ArticleSpontaneous Order More Complex Than Top Down Planning, by austrianaddict.com.

Related ArticleSpontaneous Order Demonstrated By Traffic With No Signals, by austrianaddict.com.

 

There’s A Black Market For Cigarettes In NY State! I Wonder Why?

March 26, 2014

Less will be sold at a higher price than a lower price. The first part of the law of supply and demand makes perfect sense: do you cut back on the amount of a good or service purchased if the price gets too high? The second part of this law, more is supplied at a higher price than a lower price, also makes perfect sense; ask yourself: would you supply more labor at your normal wage or double your wage if asked to work overtime. The reality of supply and demand is always in play, even if Government tries to circumvent this economic law.

In this article, The Boom In Smuggling To Avoid Cigarette Taxes, by Jonathan Berr, at cbsnews.com, even though the State of NY has tried to raise the price on cigarettes, through taxes, to a level that would discourage the demand for cigarettes, it hasn’t worked, because the second part of the law, more will be supplied at a higher price, is also at work. As long as there is a demand for cigarettes, suppliers will fill that demand as long as the cost of supplying the product is lower than the price they receive in exchange, even if cigarettes are smuggled in via a black market. People will buy on the black market if they decide the cost of getting caught plus the lower price of the cigarettes is less then the higher price of the legal cigarettes. The sellers of the black market cigarettes could probably sell at a much lower price but they have to factor in the cost of getting caught into the prices they are charging. Supply and demand sets the black market price just as it sets the price in a free market hampered by taxes and regulation.

Government can’t stop activities that people want to engage in like prostitution or drug use. Government couldn’t stop the use or production of alcohol during the prohibition era. Eventually the 21st amendment had to be passed repealing the 18th amendment which prohibited the use of alcohol. At some point the question has to be asked, is the cost of prohibition greater than the cost of allowing people to freely engage in the prohibited activity? In the case of the Government trying to discourage an activity by raising the price through taxation, the point is reached where the price gets high enough that the black market supplies a portion of the product, and in the case of cigarette sales in NY, over half.

Economic forces are always trying to correct Government interventions into the market. The Fed created tech, housing, and present financial bubbles, the failed Obamacare roll out, fracking, failed green energy companies like Solyndra, and cigarette smuggling in NY are all examples of economic forces thwarting central planners plans. As long as the means needed to supply mans limitless ends are scarce, economic forces will reign over Government attempts to create abundance by decree.

Related ArticleThe Underground Economy In One Page, by Danny G. Leroy, at mises.org.

Related ArticleHealthy Hunger-Free Kids Act, Doesn’t Work As Planners Planned, by austrianaddict.com.

Related ArticleThe Reality Of Obamacare, by austrianaddict.com.

It’s Basketball Tourney Time, Lets Talk Ticket Scalping.

March 20, 2014

Once again it’s time for March Madness. We can learn a lot about how the free market works by walking around arena’s that are hosting games.  Ticket scalpers and ticket buyers are involved in voluntary exchanges which are the heart of a free market. I wrote this post below about ticket scalping last year and I’m going to post it again.

TICKET SCALPING: THE TRUE FREE MARKET IN ACTION

I’m going to the Ohio High School Basketball Tournament this weekend not and not just to watch the games. I like to observe the economic principles at play in the free market for tickets, (aka scalping) that takes place outside of the arena, it is a real education. This video explains whats going on.

Most of the people who participate in the free market of ticket scalping, have no understanding of the economic principles they are demonstrating by their actions. Supply and demand, subjective value, and the allocation of scarce resources through the price system, are just a few of the principles being demonstrated. Order is created out of seeming chaos by buyers and sellers voluntarily making decisions on the price that ultimately leads to an exchange. The scalper is a broker who ultimately brings the buyer and the seller together, in the same way a realtor brings the buyer and seller of a house together. I’ve seen scalpers make a good profit selling tickets when LeBron James was playing in the state tournament because demand was high and the supply of good seats was low. I’ve also been at a final four at the Louisiana Super Dome where scalpers were selling tickets for a dollar, minutes before the game, trying to get what they could before the tickets would became worthless just minutes after the game started. The one thing I’ve noticed in both situations, the buyer and the seller never make the exchange of a ticket, for money, unless both parties agree on the price.  If the same two individuals came together and tried to make the exchange earlier or later than when the exchange actually took place, the subjective valuations of each party would have been different, and an exchange would not have taken place, at that price. If you get a chance to go to an NCAA tournament game, walk around the arena for a while and watch basic economic principles being demonstrated in the secondary ticket market.

Income Inequality Part II: Increase The Minimum Wage

January 15, 2014

Economic theory suggests an excessive minimum ...

The two recent, but not new, political solutions for income inequality (aka income redistribution), are extending unemployment benefits, and raising the minimum wage. In this post we will look at the consequences of the political solution, “raising the minimum wage”, but first lets start with an understanding of the nature of exchanges.

TYPES OF EXCHANGES

The free market is nothing more than individuals making voluntary exchanges. What is produced and consumed in the free market is the result of these individual decisions. All actions by individuals are exchanges, whether it’s an isolated exchange or an exchange involving other people.

An example of an isolated exchange would be you deciding to run on your treadmill. You are exchanging the time on the treadmill for other activities that could have been done with that time and at that time. This exchange reveals your value preference no matter what you might have said about that preference before your choice. Value is revealed in action and not one second before the action takes place.

Examples of exchanges between individuals, or interpersonal exchanges, would be you exchanging your labor for money, you exchanging that money for a treadmill, a steak dinner, a ticket to a baseball game, or having your roof repaired. These voluntary interpersonal exchanges increase the value for both parties involved, or they wouldn’t have taken place. Put another way, each person values what they are receiving in the exchange more than what they are giving up.

Are there involuntary interpersonal exchanges, or exchanges an individual wouldn’t choose unless he was forced or defrauded? Yes: examples of these involuntary interpersonal exchanges would be a robber taking your wallet at gun point or under the threat of physical harm, a slave owner taking the labor of the slave under the threat of violence, or a counterfeiter stealing what you’ve produced in a fraudulent exchange of something for nothing. So, in review there are two types of exchanges, isolated and interpersonal, and there are two types of interpersonal exchanges, voluntary and involuntary. Now lets look at raising the minimum wage and extending unemployment benefits through this lens.

THE REALITY ABOUT LABOR AND WAGES

When Government officials make a law raising the minimum wage, it voids the wage contract voluntarily agreed on by the employer and the employee. Each person in this exchange decided that the terms of employment were beneficial, or their wouldn’t have been an exchange of the labor for money. The Government is a third-party to the exchange between the employer and the employee. It forces an agreement on both parties that one, or both, would have never decided to make under a voluntary situation. It forces an involuntary exchange to be made.When Government officials mandate a higher wage, the employee would obviously like this exchange of his labor for more money, but the employer wouldn’t voluntarily make this exchange. What if Government officials mandated all wages be lowered? The employers would like these new terms, but the employees wouldn’t voluntarily make this exchange. Labor is ruled by the same economic laws as every other good or service supplied in the market, in spite of the Marxist brainwashing about the specialness of labor, that has taken place over the last seventy plus years.

We know from the law of supply and demand that more is demanded at a lower price than a higher price, and more is supplied at a higher price than a lower price. We have this concept of supply and demand bass ackwards when it comes to labor because we think the supplier is the employer and the demander is the employee. In reality the demander of labor is the employer and the supplier of labor is the employee. The employee is demanding money, not a job, and the employer is supplying money, not a job. When a wage is high, workers will supply more labor at this higher price than they would supply if the wage is lower. When the wage is high the employer will demand less labor than he would demand if the wage was lower. This applies to labor in general, but labor is more complex than this.

Labor is not homogeneous it is specific. Labor can be broken down into specific general categories like construction, healthcare, food services etc; and each general category can be broken down into specific jobs with specific skills like welder, plumber, doctor, nurse, cook, server etc. Each specific skills value is determined by the demand for that skill, balanced by the supply of that skill. If there is a high demand for a skill that’s rare, the price for that skill will be high. If there is a low demand for a common skill the wage will be low. The combinations of how much demand there is for a skill, and how rare or common it is, determines how much money that skill can demand, and how much money the employer will supply.

The demand for NFL quarterbacks is limited to the number of teams in the NFL, 32, and there is no real demand for this skill outside of the NFL. There are roughly 64 quarterbacks in the NFL, counting starters and backups, and these 64 are demanded differently. The demand for the skill level of  Tom Brady or Payton Manning is greater than the demand for the skill level of Ryan Mallet or Josh Johnson, and this difference in skill level determines how much money each can demand.

Millions of people have the ability to dig with a shovel, making it a common skill, and if you add to it the fact that we use machines to dig, we get a situation where there is a large supply of potential labor for the low demand job of digging with a shovel. The result is a low wage for that particular skill. The varying  combinations of the supply for specific labor, and the demand for that specific labor is why wages differ. If you factor in the reality that these combinations are constantly changing, because technology and innovation are constantly changing the supply and demand for labor, you have a situation where no one politician or bureaucrat, or group of politicians or bureaucrats, could possibly have enough knowledge to arbitrarily set wages. Although they certainly have enough arrogance and ignorance to try.

GOVERNMENT MANDATES VS. INDIVIDUAL CHOICES

There is one factor these moral crusaders fail to think about when they make these third-party mandates. Individuals may not comply. In an involuntary interpersonal exchange, like robbery at gun point or forced slave labor, the person being robbed or enslaved can simply not comply and accept being beaten or killed, or he may fight back if he thinks he has a chance of prevailing over his aggressors. In the case of the minimum wage being artificially raised above what labor produces, the employer has options besides complying with the law. The employer can 1)use capital in place of labor,  2) get rid of, or not hire low skilled labor and spread the work among his higher skilled employees, or 3) a combination of the two.

CONCLUSION

The reality is, when the price of labor is artificially set above the cost of labor, there will be less labor. Raising the minimum wage increases unemployment. Politicians really don’t care about the reality that their minimum wage mandate will hurt the people they say they are trying to help. Politicians are only interested in how morally righteous they look in the fight against income inequality. Low skilled workers are being sacrificed on the altar of politics, because political reality is the only reality that interests politicians.

Related ArticleMinimum Wage Laws Create Unemployment, by austrianaddict.com.

Related  ArticlePolitics And Minimum Wage, by Walter E. Williams, at jewishworldreview.com.

Central Planners Don’t See The Consequences Of Their Actions. Or Do They?

September 16, 2013
Cover of "Truth or Consequences"

Cover of Truth or Consequences

INTERVENTION PRODUCES CONSEQUENCES

When central planners intervene in the economy, they either think their interventions, A) will help, B) know they won’t help but want to look like they’re “doing something”, or C) know what the result of the interventions actually will be and lie about these results to the public. This means they are either, A)  ignorant, B) politically self-interested, C) evil, or D) all of above. Here are some recent examples of intervention that have or will lead to consequences that are either known or unknown by the implementors of these plans. You decide if they are born out of ignorance, political self-interest, or evil. The central planning devil or angel should not be judged by their intentions, they should be judged by the consequences of their actions. The difficulty comes in sifting through all the propaganda, or spin, as they like to call it, and find the actual results of their actions. Understanding economic principles helps pull out the nugget of truth. (more…)

Too Big To Fail GM vs. Too Small To Save Hostess

August 8, 2013
Box of Twinkies

Box of Twinkies (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

FREE MARKET CAPITALISM OR CRONY CAPITALISM

I noticed Hostess products are back on the shelves again in grocery stores. It leaves me scratching my head about how this could possibly have happened because I thought they went bankrupt. I remember when GM was going to go bankrupt we were told that GM needed to be bailed out to save the company and all the jobs, because we couldn’t see an America without GM. The politicians and the media were banging this drum as loudly as they could, leaving the impression that if Government (using yours and my money) didn’t step in to help, GM would go under and cease to exist. When Hostess declared bankruptcy, the politicians and the  media weren’t beating the same drums, in fact the drums were silent. I guess if GM was “too big to fail”, and Hostess was “too small to save”! Apparently the only thing that saved GM from going extinct, was the rigged crony capitalist bankruptcy set up (more…)

Ticket Scalping, The True Free Market In Action.

March 21, 2013

I’m going to the Ohio High School Basketball Tournament this weekend not and not just to watch the games. I like to observe the economic principles at play in the free market for tickets,(aka scalping) that takes place outside of the arena, it is a real education. This video explains whats going on.

Most of the people who participate in the free market of ticket scalping, have no understanding of the economic principles they are demonstrating by their actions. Supply and demand, subjective value, (more…)

Minimum Wage Laws Create Unemployment.

February 25, 2013
Economic theory suggests an excessive minimum ...

Economic theory suggests an excessive minimum wage may raise unemployment as it fixes a price above demand for labour, although a reasonable minimum wage enhances growth because when poorer workers have more to spend it stimulates effective aggregate demand for goods and services. (Photo credit: Wikipedia) Read about what is in bold print below.

MINIMUM WAGE RHETORIC

In the State of the Union address, the President called for the minimum wage to be raised to $9 an hour. Politicians who propose minimum wage laws are trying to gain the moral high ground on the “morally inferior” people who oppose these laws, they are not trying to help low wage low skill workers. These politicians think that making a law mandating employers pay their employees higher wages, will fool the public into thinking they are morally superior to their opponents. They prey on the emotion of the public and hope the public will not analyse what happens when wages are set higher than they would be under unhampered market conditions. Unfortunately the consequences of the legislation turn out to be different from the utopian promises that the public, and the media, so desperately want to believe can be delivered.

MINIMUM WAGE REALITY

Labor is supplied on the market like any other good, but the public has been brainwashed by Marxist propaganda to believe that an individuals labor is special, and should not be subject to the morally neutral forces of supply and demand. (more…)