Archive for the ‘Econ. 201’ category

Some Heavy Lifting To Start The Week.

July 8, 2013
The Ponzi Scheme

The Ponzi Scheme (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

These are two articles each one having a video in which many of the economic realities we talk about here are discussed in slightly different ways. The first is an article titled Opportunity Squandered: We Blew It, by Charles Hugh Smith, at oftwominds.com, and the other is titled,You Are In The Ponzi Scheme Whether You Realize It Or Not, by Monty Pelerin’s World, at ecoomicnoise.com.

I know your  most precious resource is time, and each of you only has a certain amount of time set aside  to read and be kept up to date on what is going on. Set some time aside to read the articles, but more importantly listen to the interviews. One is CHS talking with Gordon T. Long, and the second is an interview with John Robino and Gordon T. Long. Both talk about how the printing of counterfeit money, combined with artificially low-interest rates starts in a direction that F.A. Hayek said “leads to serfdom and poverty”. (more…)

Incremental Steps To The New Normal

July 1, 2013

A bubble.BERNANKE SPEAKS, THE STOCK MARKET REACTS

The sell off in the stock and bond market, the week of June 20th, at a hint by Ben Bernanke that he might ease out of Quantitative Easing in the not too distant or distant future, is evidence that the financial markets are a bubble activity blown up by the Fed’s double edge sword of printing counterfeit money and artificially lowering interest rates. We witnessed more evidence the following week when first Quarter GDP numbers were revised down. This started a rally in the stock market because investors know that if there are bad aggregate numbers, the Fed will keep electronically printing money. Money going into the market is what drives the overall market upward. Understanding how these two sides of the Fed’s interventionist coin creates the artificial prosperity that eventually has to be liquidated, is very difficult because of the abstract nature of what is involved. We have been trying to explain these abstract concepts, in a variety of ways in order (more…)

Government Plunder Sows The Seeds Of It’s Own Destruction.

June 17, 2013
Pirates

Pirates (Photo credit: Gilmoth)

GOVERNMENT IS TOO BIG

Have we finally reached the point that we can all agree that Government is too big? The latest scandals, concerning Government overreach, should be driving this point home for everyone to see no matter how politically partisan a person may be. But the republicans and the democrats have done a great job of making this a game between two teams, each having a loyal following who will defend their favorite team no matter what the members of the team do. As long as the banner of their favorite team is flying high they let corruption, power grabs, and abuses of individuals rights slide.  The normal solution for any corruption or illegality in Government is to put a new angel in the position that was previously occupied by a fallen angel [aka devil]. This will not cure the problem, it will only temporarily take care of the symptom, but the underlying problem is still there. The underlying problem is (more…)

Charles Hugh Smith, Why Suppressing Feedback Leads To Financial Crashes.

June 5, 2013
A general representation of a closed loop feed...

A general representation of a closed loop feedback system (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

In our previous post, Thomas Woods does a great job of explaining The Austrian Business Cycle Theory. In this article by Charles Hugh Smith titled, Why Suppressing Feedback Leads To Financial Crashes, he explains the same basic concept in a different way. F. A. Hayek said an economy is a system that utilizes knowledge which is widely dispersed among the people. This knowledge can’t possibly be known by one person or a committee of people. The knowledge gained by success and failure in the market is important for the coordination of production. Scarce resources, labor, capital, time, and land that is being wasted on unproductive activity will be kept to a minimum if knowledge is allowed to be transferred unhindered through the market.

Charles Hugh Smith says suppressing feedback leads to financial crashes, and Thomas Woods says that interest rates contain knowledge that coordinate production across time. Both are making the point that when knowledge is allowed to flow unhampered through the market, mainly through the price system, it works to coordinate all activities as optimally as possible. But when Government interventions don’t allow this knowledge to flow freely, malinvestments, dislocations, and financial crashes are the result.

The interventions into the market by Government through regulation, taxes, stimulus, and the Fed’s policy of credit expansion [through artificially low-interest rates and printing counterfeit money to fund this expansion of credit], has created a situation where nobody can possibly know where all of these malinvestments are located. The only way to cure these problems is for the interventions to stop and allow the market to purge itself of these wasteful activities. Unfortunately no politician, bureaucrat, or Fed policy maker wants to have this correction happen on his watch.

Getting a different explanation about the same basic concept allows us to better understand these abstract ideas. Watch the video by Thomas Woods, and read the article by Charles Hugh Smith. For a little lighter explanation, read Federal Reserve Policy Makers Have An Incestuous Intellectual Relationship With Each Other, and Geithner: “I Never Had A Real Job”, Another Example Of Intellectual Inbreeding, by austrianaddict.com.

If you really want some home work, read The Use Of Knowledge In Society, by F. A. Hayek at mises.org.

Thomas Woods Explains The Austrian Business Cycle Theory.

June 3, 2013

Thomas Woods does a brilliant job in explaining an abstract concept in a concrete way in this video. In a market economy the purpose of interest rates is to coordinate production across time. This is the concept you have to understand if you want to understand the Austrian Business Cycle Theory.

For more analysis read these articles.

The Austrian Business Cycle Theory: A Brief Explanation “, by Dan Mahoney at mises.org.

The Role Of Interest Rates In A Market Economy, by austrianaddict.com.

Counterfeiting By The Federal Reserve, Although Legal, Still Results In Theft, by austrianaddict.com.

A Housing Recovery, Or Just Another Bubble?

May 29, 2013
English: Blowing large soap bubbles at sunset

Blowing large bubbles  (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

THE WEALTH EFFECT.

Since the housing bust and the corresponding economic downturn in 08, the Fed has been trying to create the “wealth effect”, using its double-edged sword of near zero interest rates and injecting counterfeit money into the banking system. I don’t know if they realize it or not but this double-edged sword is what caused the artificial housing boom which collapsed in 08.

The wealth effect starts from the Keynesian belief that consumption drives the economy. A vast majority of economists, politicians, and bureaucrats believe that if individuals feel wealthier because the value of the stocks and bonds they own are increasing, and the value of their house is also increasing, they will spend more. This increase in consumption [aggregate demand] they believe, is  what drives the economy. Unfortunately if the policies they are implementing are based on a fallacy, the policies will also be  fallacious.

WHAT DRIVES THE ECONOMY SAVINGS OR SPENDING?

The truth is savings, capital formation, and entrepreneurial activity is what drives the economy, not consumer spending. (more…)

A Tornado vs.The Fed, Which Is More Destructive?

May 27, 2013
Shamrock Texas Tornado

(Photo credit: Wikipedia)

DESTRUCTION DOESN’T CREATE WEALTH.

It’s been a week since the tornado went through Moore Oklahoma and I have yet to see an article or comment by an “economist” saying that the destruction by the tornado will help the economy and create jobs. This is what was said after Hurricane Sandy hit New Jersey and New York, read here and here. We showed the errors of this analysis in this post titled, Hurricane Sandy and the Broken Window Fallacy. But like all shallow thinking,  this fallacy will never be put to rest once and for all, so let’s be ready to shoot it down when it rears its head again.

Let’s look at the similarities and the differences between the destructive power of this tornado, and the destructive power of the Fed and the Government. It’s a version of the broken window fallacy. (more…)

Let’s Take A Look At Bitcoin.

May 17, 2013
The bitcoin logo

The bitcoin logo (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

QUESTIONS ABOUT BITCOIN.

Bitcoin has been in the news lately for a variety of reasons. Many people have never heard of it, some have but don’t really understand what it is, and others understand what it is and are excited about its potential to become the medium of exchange. Simply put bitcoin has evolved spontaneously in the free market as an alternative to paper money. The two most important questions that have to be asked concerning bitcoin are, 1) can bitcoin become money (the medium of exchange), and 2) will Governments be able to shut down the process of bitcoin becoming money? (more…)

Charles Hugh Smith, Hits It Out Of The Park With These Articles.

May 6, 2013
Thinker

Thinker (Photo credit: dSeneste.dk)

Lets do some heavy lifting to start the week. Two weeks ago, Charles Hugh Smith, at oftwominds.com, had three outstanding articles that built on top of each other. For him they were relatively short, but as usual were filled with great insights. He talks about what politicians, bureaucrats, central bankers, and intellectuals not only think; but also talks about the incentives and constraints under which they are making decisions: Why their policies of counterfeiting money for funding stimulus programs, bailouts or for increasing their sacred GDP numbers, will continue until economic reality forces a change: Why China and the US are in similar situations, even though (more…)

Human Action Reveals The Reality About Political Decisions.

May 1, 2013
English: Cover of the scholar's edition of Hum...

Human Action by Ludwig von Mises (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

HUMAN ACTION, IN A CHANGING WORLD.

The book  Human Action (link here), by Ludwig von Mises is full of great insights into how the world works. These insights are very helpful in understanding what happens in the world of Government and politics. The books starting point for analysis is this: man acts because of the mere fact of his existence. Human action is purposeful behavior. Action is not verbal preference, it is an individual choosing, and acting, to reach a particular end. Man acts to substitute what he thinks will be a more satisfactory state of affairs for a less satisfactory state. He wouldn’t want to change his existing state of affairs, if he didn’t think his action would bring about a better state. His actions will reveal the correctness of his thinking. Action is a tangible thing and cannot be confused with wishes or hopes. Both the material and the ideal are valued differently by each individual, and what each individual values changes in time and place. What a man values the highest drives his actions. He uses available means to achieve his most highly valued ends, and his action toward his most valued end, takes place in a world of imperfection and constant change. So to summarize: (more…)