Posted tagged ‘Gross domestic product’

Is The Economy Improving? It Depends On How You Define Improving.

August 20, 2013
Real GDP Contracts Most in 27 Years

Real GDP Contracts Most in 27 Years (Photo credit: inspecie.co.uk)

QUANTITATIVE VS. QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS

We keep hearing  from the administration, and the media, that the economy is slowly improving. They cite unemployment data and GDP data to back this assertion, hoping we won’t dig below the surface in search of the truth hidden in the numbers. How you arrive at the specific numbers, is more important than the numbers themselves. Here’s an example. The environmentalists try to prove global warming by using a vaguely defined  point in the past, and comparing it to this years, or this decades, temperature. If you let me pick the year to be used in the comparison, I could prove global cooling. All I’d have to do is pick a year that was hotter than this year. If you can pick the starting point in a  comparison, you can make the data say whatever you want it to say. This is just one sleight of hand trick that politicians, the elites, and the media use in an attempt to shape our opinion, and move it toward their desired outcome. You have to have a definable standard for a comparison to be made. If the standard can be manipulated, comparisons are meaningless. When they say the economy is improving, we have to ask, “compared to what”. Normally the economy is judged to be improving if (more…)